ianstone
05-06-2010, 07:41 PM
Final Polls Point To Hung Parliament
Britain is heading for a hung parliament
according to the final opinion polls released as the campaigns ended.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week2/15600831.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Politics)
The surveys (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/PollTracker) gave the Tories a lead of up to nine points but none of them handed outright victory to David Cameron.
The Populus survery for The Times put the Tories up one point on 37% with Labour on 28% (down one) and the Lib Dems also down a point on 27%.
The ICM poll for the Guardian put the Tories on 36%, Labour on 28% and the Lib Dems on 26%.
The ComRes poll for ITV News and The Independent had the Tories nine points ahead on 37%, with Labour and the Lib Dems tied on 28 points.
Meanwhile, the latest poll from YouGov for The Sun had a boost for the Lib Dems.
It put them neck-on-neck with Labour on 28% with the Tories ahead on 35%.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594733.jpg (http://blogs.news.sky.com/boultonandco)
YouGov said compared with voting intentions in 2005 the Conservatives had added two percent to their support, while Labour had lost eight points and the Lib Dems had gained five.
The polling company's president Peter Kellner said he expected Mr Cameron to be prime minister by tomorrow night, at the head of a minority government.
An Opinium survey for the Daily Express put Mr Cameron's party on 35% with Labour down one point on 27% and Liberal Democrats down one on 26%.
And a Harris Interactive poll for the Daily Mail put the Conservatives on 35%, Labour 29% and the Lib Dems on 29%.
Sky's polls expert professor Michael Thrasher warned there were still a number of "undecided" voters who could swing the election in any direction.
"Never before has an election campaign seen so many voters so close to the polling stations opening still to make up their minds.
"In a real sense the final polls published on election day itself may help some voters."
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594735.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/HowManyMPs)
He went on: "Previous elections have demonstrated that voters... like to back the winner.
"This could be good news for the Conservatives, who the pollsters will agree are the front-runners in the tightest of three-way races.
"This might prompt some undecideds to follow the crowd and swing behind Cameron.
"For those electors struggling over a choice between Labour or the Liberal Democrats it may also matter whether the trend in recent polls of a small gap opening in Labour's favour continues.
My guess is that the Tories will be disappointed that they are not nearer the 40% mark that would give them an overall majority. (http://blogs.news.sky.com/boultonandco/Post:7899ec98-aa15-4fec-a7d2-495ee47171f3)
Jon Craig, Boulton & Co.
"Labour may also be helped by some wavering voters deciding that the economy really is the most important issue after all and using that to determine their final choice.
"This is all so different from elections in the past."
:: YouGov surveyed 6,483 voters between May 4 and 5
:: Opinium surveyed 1,383 voters between May 4 and 5.
:: Harris Interactive surveyed 3,406 voters between May 4 and 5.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594734.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/Map)
We have 650 MP's to be put back in the trough. Hung parliament, that's 650 x 12ft of rope. So hanging seems a much more effective ways of controlling these greedy filthy truffle hunters. Donations welcome. Or just send them for a tour in Afghanistan, give out guys a rest and we can see the politicians blown to shit
Britain is heading for a hung parliament
according to the final opinion polls released as the campaigns ended.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week2/15600831.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Politics)
The surveys (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/PollTracker) gave the Tories a lead of up to nine points but none of them handed outright victory to David Cameron.
The Populus survery for The Times put the Tories up one point on 37% with Labour on 28% (down one) and the Lib Dems also down a point on 27%.
The ICM poll for the Guardian put the Tories on 36%, Labour on 28% and the Lib Dems on 26%.
The ComRes poll for ITV News and The Independent had the Tories nine points ahead on 37%, with Labour and the Lib Dems tied on 28 points.
Meanwhile, the latest poll from YouGov for The Sun had a boost for the Lib Dems.
It put them neck-on-neck with Labour on 28% with the Tories ahead on 35%.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594733.jpg (http://blogs.news.sky.com/boultonandco)
YouGov said compared with voting intentions in 2005 the Conservatives had added two percent to their support, while Labour had lost eight points and the Lib Dems had gained five.
The polling company's president Peter Kellner said he expected Mr Cameron to be prime minister by tomorrow night, at the head of a minority government.
An Opinium survey for the Daily Express put Mr Cameron's party on 35% with Labour down one point on 27% and Liberal Democrats down one on 26%.
And a Harris Interactive poll for the Daily Mail put the Conservatives on 35%, Labour 29% and the Lib Dems on 29%.
Sky's polls expert professor Michael Thrasher warned there were still a number of "undecided" voters who could swing the election in any direction.
"Never before has an election campaign seen so many voters so close to the polling stations opening still to make up their minds.
"In a real sense the final polls published on election day itself may help some voters."
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594735.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/HowManyMPs)
He went on: "Previous elections have demonstrated that voters... like to back the winner.
"This could be good news for the Conservatives, who the pollsters will agree are the front-runners in the tightest of three-way races.
"This might prompt some undecideds to follow the crowd and swing behind Cameron.
"For those electors struggling over a choice between Labour or the Liberal Democrats it may also matter whether the trend in recent polls of a small gap opening in Labour's favour continues.
My guess is that the Tories will be disappointed that they are not nearer the 40% mark that would give them an overall majority. (http://blogs.news.sky.com/boultonandco/Post:7899ec98-aa15-4fec-a7d2-495ee47171f3)
Jon Craig, Boulton & Co.
"Labour may also be helped by some wavering voters deciding that the economy really is the most important issue after all and using that to determine their final choice.
"This is all so different from elections in the past."
:: YouGov surveyed 6,483 voters between May 4 and 5
:: Opinium surveyed 1,383 voters between May 4 and 5.
:: Harris Interactive surveyed 3,406 voters between May 4 and 5.
http://news.sky.com/sky-news/content/StaticFile/jpg/2010/Apr/Week1/15594734.jpg (http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/Map)
We have 650 MP's to be put back in the trough. Hung parliament, that's 650 x 12ft of rope. So hanging seems a much more effective ways of controlling these greedy filthy truffle hunters. Donations welcome. Or just send them for a tour in Afghanistan, give out guys a rest and we can see the politicians blown to shit